20 September 2023 – 09:12 Central Euro Time

Oil is trading below 90 (89.65) for the first time this week: it is the only BEGOS Market at present outside of today’s Neutral Zone; by Oil’s Market Profile, trading supports show at 88.40, then 86.90-86.40; and by Market Rhythms, Oil’s 6hr and 1hr Parabolics have of late provided attractive swung consistency on a 10-test basis. The compression in the EuroCurrencies is such (see both Market Profiles and Market Ranges) that we anticipate range breaking open in the wake of today’s FOMC Policy Statement: the consensus is for the Fed to stand pat; ramped up inflation (both retail and wholesale) can support a FedFunds increase, however housing data has sufficiently weakened per this week’s reports, (NAHB, HousingStarts/Permits).