08 November 2024 – 08:39 Central Euro Time

Early on, down is the watchword across the BEGOS Markets, the sole exception being the Bond +1 pip; otherwise, only the Swiss Franc and Spoo are not at present below today’s Neutral Zones, and volatility is pushing toward moderate. With one week plus a day to run in Q3 Earnings Season, 65% of the S&P 500’s constituent’s have bettered their bottom lines from Q3 a year ago, which across the past seven years (ex-COVID’s 2020 quarters) is below the 68% improvement average. The futs-adj’d “live” P/E of the S&P at this instant is 44.4x and the yield 1.234%; the three-month U.S. T-Bill’s annualized yield is 4.420%. The Spoo, now over 6000, is by Market Values (in real-time) +226 points above its smooth valuation line. And the S&P itself is now “textbook overbought” through 17 of the past 21 trading days. The Econ Baro rounds out its week with November’s UofM Sentiment Survey.